|
Thus, for a taxpayer in the 28% bracket,
converting to a Roth IRA will always be advantageous if the funds are invested for 10
years or more, even if the IRA owners tax bracket will decline from 28% at the time
of conversion to 15% at retirement. Converting to a Roth IRA will be even more
advantageous if the IRA owners bracket will increase during retirement.
Effect of Investment Appreciation and Capital Gains
on After-Tax Investments
Some critics of the above analysis suggest that it is not
realistic to assume that all after-tax investments will generate an increase in value by
only the amount of regular income; rather, some of the increase in value will be capital
appreciation that is not currently taxed and some will be current capital gain.
Example 6:
The facts are the same as in
Example 4, except that (1) only 30% of the investment income (e.g., interest and
dividends) are taxed at regular rates; (2) capital appreciation occurs on 70% of the
investment income; (3) capital gains result each year based on a 15% portfolio turnover
rate (i.e.,15% of the beginning years cumulative capital appreciation not previously
taxed); such gains will be taxed at 18%. In addition, the accumulated after-tax
appreciation that has not been taxed may be taxed at a capital gains rate (if the
investments are sold) or represent a step-up in basis for heirs (if held until death),
completely avoiding taxation.
This example demonstrates that when the investor achieves
more favorable capital gains tax treatment on after-tax investments, the advantage of a
Roth IRA conversion is mitigated somewhat, but still remains.
Example 6:
| After-tax
investment income (10% rate of return |
Amount
by which Roth IRA net assets exceed regular IRA net assets when G reaches age: |
|
57 |
65 |
75 |
85 |
95 |
Regular
income tax rates
(as in Example 4) |
$2,345 |
$21,351 |
$94,032 |
$429,956 |
$1,761,916 |
Capital gains
and appreciation,
capital gains tax paid in last year |
2,275 |
17,385 |
71,980 |
319,130 |
1,297,430 |
Capital gains
and appreciation,
stepped-up basis after death |
2,177 |
14,783 |
63,331 |
278,128 |
1,155,100 |
When to Convert
Is it better to convert to a Roth
IRA earlier or later?
Example 7: In 1998, Y and Z are each 30 years old; each has
a $100,000 regular IRA. Y converts his IRA to a Roth IRA at age 30; Z
converts his IRA at age 55. By waiting until age 55, Z will not have the four-year
spread period for paying tax on the conversion. The table below illustrates the different
results.
Example 7:
| |
Y |
|
Z |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| Balances at age 55: |
|
|
|
|
| IRA funds |
$1,083,471 |
(Roth) |
$1,083,471 |
(Regular) |
| After-tax funds |
390,706 |
|
530,204 |
|
| Total assets |
1,474,177 |
|
1,613,675 |
(Before Conversion) |
| Income tax on IRA |
0 |
|
(379,215) |
|
| Net assets |
$1,474,177 |
|
$1,234,460 |
(After Conversion) |
| |
|
|
|
|
| Balances at age 70: |
|
|
|
|
| Roth IRA funds |
$4,525,926 |
|
$4,525,927 |
|
| After-tax funds |
1,062,956 |
|
477,374 |
|
| Total and net assets |
$5,588,882 |
|
$5,003,301 |
|
Making the conversion at a younger age is
more beneficial, because the Roth IRA has more time to grow tax-free (as opposed to
tax-deferred in a regular IRA). Another advantage of an earlier conversion is that
Congress could repeal the ability to convert; however, converted IRAs should be
grandfathered.
Inherited Funds
The results in Example 4 can understate the advantages of a Roth IRA, because they do
not consider the beneficiarys timeframe for making distributions from the inherited
IRA. The analysis does not consider the potential benefits a beneficiary may receive from
withdrawing less than all of the funds immediately after the IRA owners death.
Tax-free growth is maximized only if the beneficiary takes the required minimum
distributions. Decreasing the rate at which distributions are taken from a inherited
regular IRA will only defer taxes, while slowing distributions from an inherited
Roth IRA will provide greater tax-free growth.
Example 8:
W, age 45, inherits a $100,000 regular IRA. His
Federal income tax rate is 28%; his state income tax rate is 3% (on after-tax investment
income). All after-tax and IRA funds earn 10% annually. Only required minimum
distributions are taken, and they are equal for both the Roth and regular IRA. These
distributions are added to the after-tax funds.
Example 8 and Exhibit 3 below clearly illustrate the
advantage of inheriting a Roth IRA versus a regular IRA; the difference results from the
lack of income tax on the Roth IRA.
Example 8:
| |
W's
Age |
| |
45 |
55 |
70 |
85 |
| Inherited
regular IRA: |
|
|
|
|
| Balance in
regular IRA |
$100,000 |
$196,068 |
$403,820 |
$0 |
| Balance in
after-tax funds |
0 |
40,240 |
356,691 |
1,947,311 |
| Total assets |
$100,000 |
$236,308 |
$760,511 |
$1,947,311 |
| Income tax on
regular IRA |
28,000 |
54,899 |
113,070 |
0 |
| Net assets |
$
72,000 |
$181,409 |
$647,441 |
$1,947,311 |
| Inherited Roth
IRA: |
|
|
|
|
| Balance in Roth
IRA |
$100,000 |
$196,068 |
$403,820 |
$0 |
| Balance in
after-tax funds |
0 |
56,559 |
510,055 |
2,832,613 |
| Total and net
assets |
$100,000 |
$252,627 |
$913,875 |
$2,832,613 |
|
|